Calibrate the Decisions That Change the Future: On-Policy Post-Training Quantization for Multimodal Large Language Models

arXiv:2609.36828v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-training quantization (PTQ) lowers deployment cost for multimodal large language models, but calibration typically reconstructs fixed sequences with local objectives. This overlooks autoregressive feedback: a quantization-induced token change redirects the prefix and changes future states. Yet on-policy coverage alone is insufficient because many decision mismatches barely affect future generation. We propose OnPTQ, an on-policy framework that calibrates on trajectories visited by the current quantized policy. On shared prefixes, OnPTQ identifies quantization-eroded boundaries, evaluates competing tokens through short counterfactual rollouts, and combines current discrepancy with branch consequence into a Decision--Consequence risk. The risk prioritizes critical states, while context anchoring and trajectory refresh preserve multimodal behavior and keep calibration aligned with the updated policy. We further derive a Decision--Consequence bound linking behavioral deviation to current policy discrepancy and action-conditioned future-value span. Across vision--language and omni-modal Qwen models under multiple low-bit settings, OnPTQ improves downstream performance and yields fewer correctness flips against the corresponding Dense/FP16 references, without changing the deployed inference graph.