Compact set-valued deep ensembling in multi-class classification

arXiv:2610.05332v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper tackles visible challenges in deep ensemble learning, where deep neural networks serve as ensemble members: training and storage burdens, and robustness of cautious (set-valued) predictions targeting multiple utilities, which may involve reward-sensitivity. To mitigate the training and storage burdens, we propose to employ compact ensembles, such as Bayesian Neural Networks and Convolutional Neural Networks with the Monte-Carlo dropout prediction option, to produce probabilistic predictions. For each query instance, these probabilistic predictions are then used to define a representative distribution optimizing some statistical distance. The representative distribution is then employed to define the Bayes-optimal prediction (BOP) of any utility. To address the potential unrobustness of singleton prediction making, we propose a family of set-utilities satisfying some desirable properties and whose set-valued BOPs can be found efficiently. Empirical evidence is then given to illustrate the potential (dis)advantages of the proposed ensemble learning framework.