CSC: Calibrated Simplicity for Conflict-Aware Social Bot Detection in the LLM Era

arXiv:2609.23320v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Social bot detection is essential for protecting online platforms from misinformation amplification, coordinated manipulation, and distorted public discourse. However, large language models have made social bots much harder to detect from text alone because semantic camouflage is now cheap, fluent, and scalable. The resulting challenge is modality conflict: an account may look human-like in semantics while remaining suspicious in graph structure, profile attributes, or cross-modal consistency. Recent graph-based detectors tackle this limitation by adding graph-side complexity, such as sparse prototype selection, adaptive gating, or architecture-specific control logic, yet our experiments suggest that complexity alone is not the most reliable way to resolve such conflict. We therefore propose CSC, a calibrated-simplicity framework for conflict-aware LLM-era social bot detection. The framework combines three design choices: a simplified prototype-guided graph expert that retains useful structural biases while removing unstable graph-side heuristics, calibrated simplex-constrained fusion that aligns heterogeneous confidence spaces before late fusion, and a lightweight inconsistency expert that models cross-modal disagreement. Experiments on TwiBot-22, TwiBot-20, and MGStBot-large show that \textsc{CSC} improves calibrated operating-point decision quality while remaining competitive across external benchmarks. Further analyses show that calibration improves confidence reliability, the inconsistency expert mainly provides localized corrections in high-conflict or near-threshold regions, and simplified graph-side control yields a better stability-cost trade-off. A targeted semantic-camouflage stress test further shows that replacing selected bot text with matched human text sharply degrades the standalone text expert while leaving graph and fused evidence stable on a balanced challenge set.