Cultural Divergence Preservation: Diagnosing Flattening and Caricature in LLM-Simulated Survey Populations

arXiv:2609.29928v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as synthetic survey respondents to estimate population response distributions. In cross-cultural survey simulation, evaluations should assess not only distributional fidelity within countries but also whether differences across countries are preserved. However, existing distance-based metrics such as Jensen--Shannon divergence (JSD) do not directly capture such cross-country differences. To address this limitation, we introduce Cultural Divergence Preservation (CDP), a reference-light diagnostic based on a one-time human calibration. CDP identifies reduced cross-country divergence as cultural flattening and increased divergence as cultural caricature. To evaluate CDP, we conduct experiments across four LLM backbones, three persona-based prompting methods, and two survey domains, the World Values Survey (WVS) and the Big Five Personality Test. The results reveal a systematic discrepancy between conventional fidelity metrics and CDP. Controlled experiments show that CDP changes monotonically as cross-country divergence is attenuated or amplified, while the corresponding changes in JSD remain relatively small. In our audit of real LLM generations, DeepPersona-Inspired prompting is frequently favored by conventional fidelity metrics but exhibits the strongest flattening in every model--domain block. CDP thus complements fidelity metrics by directly quantifying the attenuation or amplification of cross-country divergence.