Does a Norwegian further-trained model give more outdated legal values than its base model? A preregistered paired comparison of Borealis 2 and Gemma 4

arXiv:2611.02334v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We compare how often two released language models give outdated numeric values from Norwegian statutes and regulations: NbAiLab/borealis2-26b-a4b-preview (Borealis 2), which the National Library of Norway further trained from google/gemma-4-26B-A4B-it (Gemma 4), and Gemma 4 itself. The study was preregistered (doi:10.5281/zenodo.23858965) and uses the closed norregel benchmark, scored deterministically against a value history. On the 411 of 503 primary items where both models gave an interpretable answer, Borealis 2 alone was outdated on 10 items and Gemma 4 alone on 11 (d = -0.2 percentage points, 95% cluster bootstrap interval [-2.7, +2.5], exact one-sided McNemar p = 0.668). By the preregistered rule this is no effect of interest: the whole interval lies within the smallest effect of interest of +/-10 percentage points. Among the secondary measures, only the share of answers giving a value that took effect after the question date differs after Holm correction; Gemma 4 gave such answers more often. An exploratory comparison of two smaller Borealis models had no discordant pairs and is not informative. The design compares released models and does not isolate the effect of any part of their training.