Frontier Radar #5: If AGI is so close, why is everyone leaving? The neolabs and their bets

OpenAI is talking about the AGI era, and Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang says AGI has arrived. At the same time, co-creators of today's models are leaving OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Meta to start their own labs, raising billions with no product to show. Why? They're betting that the current recipe alone won't be enough. We've sorted 45 neolabs by their research bets, mapped the limitations of today's AI they're trying to overcome, looked at what's already visible from their work, and explain why Nvidia always wins.