SR-Fraud: An Outcome-Supervised Reflective LLM Agent Framework for Non-Stationary Payment Fraud Detection

arXiv:2609.27287v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-time payment fraud detection is a non-stationary streaming prediction problem: adversaries adapt before supervised labels mature, and localized burst attacks can cause losses before retraining. Production systems typically rely on tabular classifiers and rules, which can struggle to capture these emerging sequential patterns before periodic retraining occurs. We present SR-Fraud, an outcome-supervised reflective LLM framework that decouples request-time decisions from offline adaptation. A frozen, stateless agent scores each transaction from a Hybrid Episodic Window to track behavioral shifts, while an offline reflection agent proposes boundary hypotheses from matured errors. A deterministic verifier then admits only supported hypotheses into an executable knowledge state. On a production payment-fraud benchmark, SR-Fraud improves all detection metrics over its frozen decision agent, obtains higher point estimates than static and periodically retrained CatBoost, and detects an emerging fraud burst.